Ripening
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Manifold
Prediction markets
Social prediction market where users create questions and trade with mana, a play-money currency that cannot be converted to cash.
- Trades use mana, play money that cannot be cashed out
- New users start with 1,000 mana for free; buying more is optional
- Users create markets, and the creator resolves them
- Yes/No, multiple choice and numeric markets
- Periodic prize drawings pay winners in USDC, with one free entry per drawing
No score yet
We score a market only when its rewards, taker fee and volume are confirmed. How we score
- Rewards 4.0
- Periodic USDC prize drawings; mana itself has no cash value
- Ease 10.0
- Google or Apple sign-in, iOS app, free mana, markets on any topic
- Access 10.0
- No KYC to play, only embargoed countries are excluded
- Sign in with a Google or Apple account
- Use your free 1,000 mana to bet on existing markets
- Claim the daily free loan and complete quests to earn more mana
- Create your own market with clear resolution criteria
- Election Night: What Traders Are WatchingThe first race to watch, where Manifold and Cook disagree, and how not to get burned live-trading the count
- Seven Leads... and a DefectionA Michigan Democrat endorsed the Republican two days out. Hours later, the final polls put Democrats ahead in every Senate battleground. Here’s what the markets say.
- The Other Dan SullivanThe national mood, a tied race in Iowa, and the most unusual Senate race on the map.
Mana has no cash value and Manifold can change, expire or remove balances. Market creators resolve their own markets, and Manifold can re-resolve or void any market at its discretion. Prize drawings need age 18+, 1,000 mana invested and an eligible location; several US states, Ontario and about two dozen countries are excluded.
No security incidents found in our check of Oct 30, 2026.
